Showing posts with label Nomura Holdings Inc.. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nomura Holdings Inc.. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Japan Downgraded - Time to Buy!

S&P downgrades Japan - Why this is a time to buy!


Moody's and The Bovespa - 2002

Brazil almost went bankrupt in 2002. In 2002, many of the international financial agencies were downgrading Brazil in many ways - many blamed the debt uncertainty because of a socialist/leftist candidate named Lula da Silva and the possible negative economic implications if he were to win the election - well he did win and so did Brazil.

Article: Moody's Downgrades Brazil Debt Article.

And this is what the stock market did after the debt downgrade and the election of a socialist.



Today: S & P and Japan!!


S & P downgrades Japan's Credit Rating Article.

Here is a chart of the Nikkei 20yr.




The Nikkei has been drifting lower for twenty years - the chart looks to have double bottomed and this could be a place to park some cash as markets around the world continue their correction. Let's see where the Nikkei is 3-5 years relative to world indices. Here are some charts of MTU, MFG, and NMR.

Note of warning: when these type of media events take place, the volatility will naturally increase so expect some "whipsaw" action.

NMR





MFG




MTU




Use any weakness to start accumulating Japanese banking stocks and any other stocks that have good technical signals. I will now scour Japanese stocks for new bargains, etc. This will be a volatile time so manage and strategize your approach.

Sunday, January 10, 2010

Chart of the Week (and decade)

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. (MTU)


I first found the idea of Japanese banks as a good bet for 2010 from the blog THE OIL TRADERS BLOG. I then delved into some charts and found the technicals to be quite impressive. I decided to post this one as the "Chart of the Week or(more like decade) which shows a massive possible trend change. It all makes sense in the respect that the Japanese Banking Crisis happened in the late 80's early 90's. Our banks dominated the last 20 years and arguably longer but the tides may have shifted and put Japan's financing in the lead going forward - we'll see.

Here is a chart of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. MTU which shows a massive Long Term trend shift in the form of a Head and Shoulders bottom.





Other tickers he mentions are MFG, NMR.